Opinion iranIsraellebanontrumpuswar After 108 days of a war reality show, Trump’s fanfare remains — and thousands are dead Trump 6 1024x532 Relevant News Protaras Riviera? 16 June 2026 After 108 days of a war reality show, Trump’s fanfare remains — and thousands are dead 16 June 2026 Energy security and geopolitical stability 16 June 2026 Giorgos Kallinikou 16 June 2026 FacebookXWhatsAppEmailPrintViber For 108 days, international politics has looked less like diplomacy and more like a never-ending theatre production. Threats rolled out like film trailers. Statements shifting from morning to night. U-turns rebranded as “flexibility”. And now we are told there is an “US–Iran agreement”, presented almost as a historic diplomatic breakthrough. It is not. This is not a final agreement. It is not a fully formed framework with secure, enforceable terms. It is, in essence, a memorandum of understanding opening the door to an exceptionally difficult 60-day negotiation. The core issues remain unresolved. Above all, Iran’s nuclear programme, the question of enriched uranium, its infrastructure, and—crucially—the mechanisms that would actually guarantee compliance by Tehran. The real question is not whether a piece of paper can state that Iran will not acquire a nuclear weapon. That is the easy part. The real question is whether Iran will retain the infrastructure that would allow it to return to a nuclear programme whenever it chooses. Even more critical is this: who would enforce any final agreement, and how? From what is known so far, a clearer picture is beginning to emerge—one that had already become visible in recent months, even as Donald Trump declared victory—that Iran can hardly be described as the defeated party in this process. On the contrary. If there is a side that has emerged weakened, it is Donald Trump. Because the projection of American power was not confirmed on the ground. Trump entered this crisis with his familiar certainty that he would impose his terms and force everyone else to adjust to his version of reality. Reality, however, had other ideas. He sought to bend Iran into unconditional submission. He failed. He sought to impose his geopolitical agenda across the Middle East. He failed. He sought to drag Saudi Arabia into a military confrontation with Tehran. He failed. He sought to turn NATO into a multiplier of his own strategy. He failed. He sought to persuade Europe to fall in line behind a new war-driven logic. He failed. These were points already made two months ago, and nothing has changed. He also sought Iran’s complete isolation in the region. Instead, Gulf states opened their own channels of communication with Tehran, choosing realism and security over blind alignment with Washington. If this is not a serious strategic failure, then the word failure has lost all meaning. The fundamental problem is that Trump treated geopolitics as a permanent television production. Another episode of a global reality show. Threats. Exaggerations. Slogans. Grand promises. And a constant self-declaration of victory before the game had even ended. But geopolitics does not work like that. And somewhere in the middle of all this, the Strait of Hormuz entered the frame. A factor Trump appears to have dangerously underestimated when he approached the global economy with the recklessness of a gambler. Iran’s ability to influence global energy flows is not a bargaining chip. It is a lever of power. And as long as that lever remained active, Washington’s supposed “total dominance” looked increasingly like an expensive advertising slogan with no substance behind it. On the diplomatic front, NATO experienced its own seismic shock. Allies unwilling to engage. Others dragged reluctantly into developments they did not shape. And a President who first labelled everyone “useless” and then wondered why they were not applauding him on their feet. As for Iran, one reality remains unavoidable. The clerical regime of the mullahs—however uncomfortable that truth may be for those who oppose it—has not collapsed from within, as Washington had long hoped. It has emerged from this confrontation still standing, at times even projecting confidence. Whether Trump likes it or not, that is the raw reality. Whether, 60 days from Friday, a final agreement is reached or not, one question will linger. What has this entire confrontation actually left behind? Thousands dead. Tens of thousands injured. Millions displaced. Lives destroyed. And an entire region still living on a powder keg. And one final irony: after all the spectacle, the world ends up exactly where it started. Only now it is counting the cost of this geopolitical reality show—in human lives, in economic damage, and in the erosion of basic principles. 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