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Analysts predict no US petrol price drop until 2027

Al Jazeera · 2026-06-17

AI SUMMARY

• What happened: Analysts predict that US gasoline prices will not drop below 79 cents per litre until 2027 due to ongoing disruptions in global oil inventories linked to the war on Iran. • Why it matters: Sustained high gasoline prices could further strain American consumers' budgets, already affected by inflation in other areas, potentially altering spending patterns. • What to watch next: Monitor developments in the geopolitical landscape and production levels from major oil-producing countries, as these factors will influence future gasoline price trends.

**Analysts Predict No US Petrol Price Drop Until 2027**

US drivers may face a prolonged period of high gasoline prices, with analysts forecasting that it could be until 2027 before prices fall below 79 cents per litre. This prediction comes from Patrick De Haan, the Head of Petroleum Analysis at GasBuddy, who cites ongoing disruptions in global oil inventories as a significant factor influencing future prices.

The current landscape of oil prices has been heavily impacted by various geopolitical events, particularly the conflict involving Iran. As tensions in the region continue, the stability of oil supply chains has been jeopardized, leading to fluctuations in prices at the pump across the United States. De Haan suggests that it may take more than a year for global oil inventories to stabilize and recover from these disruptions.

The implications of sustained high gasoline prices are significant for American consumers, who are already grappling with inflationary pressures in other areas of their lives. With petrol prices remaining elevated, household budgets may be strained further, leading to potential shifts in consumer behavior and spending patterns.

As the situation evolves, the energy market will be closely monitored for any signs of recovery. Analysts and consumers alike will be watching for developments in the geopolitical landscape, as well as changes in production levels from major oil-producing countries. The interplay between supply and demand will be crucial in determining the trajectory of gasoline prices in the coming years.

In summary, the forecast from GasBuddy highlights the challenges facing US drivers in the near future, suggesting that a significant reduction in petrol prices may not be realized until 2027.

Source: Al Jazeera
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