**Citi Raises Eurobank Earnings Outlook Ahead of Quarterly Results**
Citi has issued an optimistic report regarding Eurobank, maintaining its 'buy' recommendation and reaffirming a target price of €5 per share. This comes as the bank prepares to announce its second-quarter earnings on July 30, 2026. The report, highlighted by Greek business outlet Newmoney, indicates a positive shift in profitability forecasts for Eurobank, driven by stronger interest income and sustained lending momentum.
As of July 24, 2026, Eurobank's shares closed at €4.36, which suggests a potential upside of 14.7% based on Citi's target price. When factoring in an anticipated dividend yield of 4.8%, Citi projects a total expected return of 19.5% for investors.
Citi has slightly adjusted its earnings per share forecasts, raising estimates by 2% for 2026 and 1% for 2027, while keeping 2028 projections stable. These revisions are attributed to expectations of enhanced net interest income, bolstered by rising interest rates, and improved fee income driven by ongoing strength in capital markets.
For the upcoming second-quarter earnings report, Citi anticipates Eurobank will report an underlying net profit of €377 million, which would represent an 8% increase from the previous quarter and a 4% rise compared to the same period last year. The forecast for reported net profit, after accounting for minority interests but before AT1 instrument costs, stands at €374 million. This figure reflects a significant 13% quarterly increase, although it marks a slight 1% decline year-on-year.
Citi expects Eurobank's return on tangible equity to improve to 15.7%, up from 14% in the first quarter, primarily due to stronger revenue performance. The bank's net interest income is projected to rise by 2% to €674 million, while net fee income is anticipated to reach €219 million, reflecting an 8% quarterly increase. This growth in fee income is expected to be supported by heightened loan production and robust capital markets activity.
Conversely, trading and other income is forecasted to decline to €8 million from €11 million in the first quarter. Citi also predicts that Eurobank's operating expenses will remain stable at €330 million, while provisions for credit losses are expected to increase by 3% to €79 million. Additionally, the report includes a one-time charge of €3 million related to provisions for restructured mortgage loans under Greece's Katseli law, following a recent Supreme Court ruling.
On the balance sheet front, Citi foresees a 2% quarterly increase in gross loans and a 1% growth in deposits. The bank's Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio is expected to remain stable at 15.4%.
Looking ahead, Citi projects an adjusted net profit of €1.48 billion for Eurobank in 2026, with a dividend of €0.21 per share. For 2027, the investment bank forecasts an increase in adjusted net profit to €1.65 billion, accompanied by a rise in the dividend to €0.24 per share.
As Eurobank approaches its earnings announcement, the positive outlook from Citi reflects confidence in the bank's ability to navigate the current economic landscape and capitalize on favorable market conditions.