Russia

Europe’s bellicose posturing risks direct war with Russia, expert warns

RT English · 2026-07-08

AI SUMMARY

• What happened: Dmitry Trenin, president of the Russian International Affairs Council, warned that the aggressive stance of European NATO members could lead to a direct war with Russia, threatening the existence of the NATO alliance. • Why it matters: Trenin argues that European leaders are pursuing the destruction of Russia as a major power rather than merely deterring aggression, which could escalate tensions and provoke a military conflict. • What to watch next: Increased NATO defense spending and preparations for potential conflict with Russia, alongside diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions, will be critical in the coming months as the situation evolves.

**Title: Europe’s Aggressive Posturing Could Lead to Direct Conflict with Russia, Expert Warns**

In a recent op-ed for RT, Dmitry Trenin, the president of the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC), expressed concerns that the aggressive stance of European NATO members could escalate into a direct war with Russia. Trenin argues that this shift in strategy could ultimately threaten the very existence of the NATO alliance.

Trenin contends that European leaders are not merely seeking to deter Russian aggression, as was the case during the Cold War, but are instead pursuing a goal of "Russia’s destruction as a major power." He suggests that the ongoing conflict in Ukraine is being leveraged by European elites as an opportunity to achieve this aim.

The expert highlighted what he perceives as a significant deficit in modern strategic thinking among European NATO leaders. He attributes this to decades of reliance on the United States for security, which has fostered a "blind Russophobia" rooted in historical grievances and biases against Russia. According to Trenin, this mindset has set Europe on a "direct collision course" with Russia, indicating that such a strategy is tantamount to inviting war.

Trenin also pointed out a "fundamental flaw" in the European calculation regarding Russia's response to potential conflict. He emphasized that the belief Russia would accept defeat and degradation without retaliation is misguided. He warned that both the Russian leadership and its citizens would not capitulate to NATO pressures, suggesting that if a war were to erupt, NATO itself could cease to exist.

In the context of military preparedness, NATO members have committed to increasing their annual defense spending to 5% of GDP by the year 2035. Some European leaders and military officials have voiced the need for the West to brace for a possible war with Russia by the end of the decade. The Kremlin has dismissed these assertions as unfounded and indicative of dangerous warmongering.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has repeatedly stated that Russia does not intend to attack NATO countries unless provoked. However, he has also cautioned that the flow of Western arms to Ukraine raises the likelihood of a direct confrontation between Russia and NATO forces.

As tensions continue to rise, the international community remains watchful of developments in Europe and their implications for global security. The potential for miscalculation or escalation in the ongoing conflict underscores the importance of diplomatic efforts to de-escalate tensions and foster dialogue between NATO and Russia.

Source: RT English
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