Press review: Iran war strains US global reach as Washington revives Gaza settlement talks

Press review: Iran war strains US global reach as Washington revives Gaza settlement talks Top stories from the Russian press on Tuesday, August 18th© South Korea Defense Ministry via APMOSCOW, August 18. /TASS/. The US is scaling back its presence around the world, focusing its forces near Iran; Washington has resumed talks on Gaza; and Europe has run out of new options for an original sanctions package against Russia. These stories topped Tuesday's newspaper headlines across Russia. Vedomosti: How war with Iran reduces US presence around globe The US is significantly reducing its participation in joint annual military exercises with South Korea, as they are costly and hinder the normalization of dialogue with North Korea, US President Donald Trump stated on August 17. He emphasized that one of the factors influencing his decision was his "very good relationship" with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. Meanwhile, the US continues to bolster its military presence near Iran. According to political scientist and US affairs expert Malek Dudakov, the reduction in joint exercises reflects a growing crisis in relations between Washington and Seoul. "We have been observing these crisis developments for more than a month now, but they are now reaching a point that is obvious to everyone," the expert told Vedomosti. He cited disagreements over South Korea’s promised investments in the US economy as one of the reasons: Seoul had previously announced plans to invest $350 billion. However, according to Dudakov, these plans were never carried out. Another point of contention remains the cost of the US military presence. South Korea currently pays Washington about $1 billion a year, while Trump, according to Dudakov’s assessment, is insisting on increasing the amount to $3-5 billion. "So far, no agreement has been reached, and the issue remains unresolved," the expert pointed out. The White House’s decision may also have been influenced by the Iranian factor, he stressed. US allies are in no hurry to support Washington in its actions against Iran, and American resources, including Patriot missile systems, are being shifted from Asia to the Middle East. Against this backdrop, "the Americans are gradually scaling back their military involvement on the Korean Peninsula," which the world may perceive as a sign of a declining US position, Dudakov emphasized. The reduction in joint exercises with South Korea may reflect the US desire to restart negotiations with North Korea, Pavel Koshkin, a senior researcher at the US and Canadian Studies Institute of the Russian Academy of Sciences, said. According to the expert, this would signify a continuation of the diplomatic track that Trump attempted to establish during his first presidential term. At the same time, the US leader may have been reacting to Seoul’s refusal to support Washington in a military operation against Iran. "Trump is simply giving them a taste of their own medicine," Koshkin pointed out. He also noted that the US president is currently focused on the Middle East and does not want to "spread himself too thin" with military exercises until the Iranian issue is resolved. According to Trump, this approach fits into a broader policy of scaling back the US presence in lower-priority regions, the expert concluded. Izvestia: US resumes Gaza settlement process The situation in the Gaza Strip has gained new momentum: the US has reentered negotiations to promote the implementation of the second phase of the settlement. US special envoy Jared Kushner has coordinated efforts with all parties to the conflict. The process is underway, but achieving the complete disarmament of Hamas has not yet been achieved, and until then, Tel Aviv will not make concessions on the issue of troop withdrawal. Experts emphasize that achieving long-term peace in the Middle East is currently impossible: Washington is only attempting to settle the situation in the Gaza Strip, while completely ignoring the problem in the West Bank. First and foremost, the parties disagree on the sequence of steps toward a settlement. Washington proposes withdrawing Israeli troops alongside the disarmament of Hamas. However, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu insists that not a single soldier will leave the region until the Palestinian group’s arsenals have been completely destroyed. The new round of talks has not settled the issue. "Negotiations on the second phase are ongoing, but the main issue remains unresolved: Israel demands the actual disarmament of Hamas before any troop withdrawal," Netanyahu’s adviser Dmitry Gendelman told Izvestia. "No retreat from the ‘yellow line’ is anticipated or will occur until Hamas is genuinely disarmed," he noted. However, the Gaza issue is not the only reason for Kushner’s visit to Israel, Konstantin Blokhin, a leading researcher at the Russian Academy of Sciences’ Center for Security Studies, stressed. The parties will also discuss the confrontation with Iran. Trump cannot withdraw from the conflict without new agreements: the Republican politician was rash enough to publicly call ex-president Barack Obama’s previous nuclear deal the worst in history. As a result, the US administration has backed itself into a corner: Trump needs to conclude a new agreement with Tehran on more favorable terms. To do so, the White House needs the support of key Middle Eastern states, but Washington cannot fully rely on that support due to the unresolved crisis in Gaza, the expert stressed. Meanwhile, the US congressional elections are drawing near, and there is nothing to show voters on the Middle East front. Any unfulfilled promises by the US leader, including a settlement in the enclave, will seriously hurt the Republican Party. In this regard, there is a slight chance of a "Trump-style" deal on Gaza, international relations expert Yelena Suponina pointed out. This would involve signing a framework document with general wording, which would be presented as a solid agreement but would not be implemented in practice and would lead to a new escalation. At the same time, a long-term peace agreement between Israel and Hamas is not to be expected. The problem is not being addressed at its core, since the current negotiations concern only the Gaza Strip, which constitutes only a small portion of the territory designated for a Palestinian state, the expert emphasized. Izvestia: Europe exhausts new and original means of exerting pressure on Russia The EU has exhausted all its options for exerting pressure on Russia. As a result, the most extensive expansion of sanctions lists since the start of the conflict in Ukraine is now underway. The draft of the 22nd sanctions package is scheduled to be unveiled in September. Ireland, which currently holds the EU Council presidency, hopes to adopt the package at the earliest opportunity. The bloc may step up pressure on the banking sector and maritime transport. In any case, Russia will adapt to the new restrictions. Meanwhile, Western diplomats acknowledge that the list of sectors where new restrictions can be imposed is becoming shorter. In July, European media outlets reported, citing sources, that the EU had identified the "last potential areas" for new sanctions. Moreover, the adoption of new packages continues to face significant disagreements. However, the EU has fewer and fewer avenues for new restrictions. Simply expanding the sanctions lists no longer has a significant effect, Russian International Affairs Council program coordinator Polina Chupriyanova told Izvestia. At the same time, the expert noted the EU still has some opportunities to exert pressure on Russia’s foreign trade and financial infrastructure. Restrictions could be expanded to cover regional financial institutions. Another area of focus is maritime transport. In the 21st sanctions package, the EU authorized the sale of confiscated Russian oil. It is unclear how this measure will work in practice, but it could ease the EU’s future tasks, Chupriyanova added. The Russian president, however, warned that if such actions are taken, Moscow may respond and detain European vessels wherever it deems necessary. "Fears regarding potential incidents at sea are certainly justified, especially since the EU is stepping up its efforts to combat the so-called Russian shadow fleet," European Parliament member Diana Sosoaca stressed. Ultimately, the new restrictions are unlikely to significantly alter the situation. In the case of maritime transport, they may at best make exports more expensive and more difficult, but they will not stop them entirely. The new measures against banks will also force Russian companies to use more lengthy chains of intermediaries. On the other hand, they will likely speed up the creation of alternative and independent payment channels. Rossiyskaya Gazeta: Why shipping costs are rising and how Russia is seeking alternatives Shipping costs along major maritime routes around the world have risen significantly due to the conflict in the Middle East and droughts in several countries. Experts believe that, like other countries, Russia will not be able to avoid the associated challenges but will be able to swiftly switch to alternative logistics routes. "The cost of maritime shipping is rising because it reflects the risks posed by the choke points that currently exist in international trade flows," economic research expert Alexander Abramov told Rossiyskaya Gazeta. In this case, choke points are routes through the Panama Canal, the Strait of Hormuz, the Red Sea, the Black Sea, and other passages. The expert explained that ocean freight rates may include a surcharge for increased risk if armed conflicts break out at sea. Of course, in this case, the cost of transporting cargo will rise. "Yes, and Russian companies will pay a little more for shipping goods via dangerous routes or using alternative ones," Abramov noted. The greatest challenge for Russia is not the higher tariffs but the EU’s sanctions that limit transit capacity. For example, tensions periodically arise between the EU and Russia over ship inspections. This creates difficulties in exporting Russian oil, grain, and other products through the Black Sea to the Mediterranean Sea. The expert stressed that transit capacity through the Baltic Sea is also partly limited for Russia. "On the other hand, new opportunities are emerging. These include, for example, growing demand for the Northern Sea Route," Abramov pointed out. Other countries can also identify alternative shipping routes. Therefore, although the rising cost of transportation is an important factor, it is not a decisive one in terms of prices for fuel and other key commodities, the source concluded. Nezavisimaya Gazeta: Future of Moroccan migrants stuck in Spain’s Ceuta Officials in Madrid and Brussels are doing their utmost to resolve the crisis that arose in late July, when tens of thousands of Moroccans breached the Spanish and EU border near the city of Ceuta. The undocumented migrants who remained in this Spanish enclave in North Africa staged a protest. Their main demand is to be granted asylum instead of being deported to Morocco. The migrants’ dreams of a more comfortable life will be shattered by the harsh reality: neither Spain nor Europe is ready to accept them. Meanwhile, the Spanish and EU authorities will have to decide what to do with the thousands of undocumented migrants still remaining in the city. "The Spanish government is the most left-wing in all of Europe. It makes decisions based not only on economic expediency but also under the influence of ideological factors. [Prime Minister Pedro] Sanchez and his cabinet have a somewhat different approach to addressing the migration problem as a whole than most Western European governments," Yekaterina Cherkasova, a senior researcher at the Russian Academy of Sciences’ World Economy and International Relations Institute, told Nezavisimaya Gazeta. According to the expert, Spain posted the highest economic growth rate among all OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) countries last year. "Sanchez believes that achieving such growth rates is impossible without attracting foreign labor," Cherkasova emphasized. The expert pointed out that undocumented migrants from the enclave were not removed by police. Most of them left of their own accord. Ceuta is a very small territory with a population of about 80,000. After the influx, the number of people there nearly doubled. "The migrants had nothing to eat or drink and nowhere to sleep. They found that conditions in Ceuta were even worse than those they were trying to flee from," the analyst stressed. "The Spanish government will have to deal with the aftermath of the crisis. Ceuta is unable to resolve them on its own and has already requested financial assistance from Madrid. And Madrid, in turn, will ask Brussels for funding," Cherkasova noted. Spain can count on EU assistance on the grounds that the remaining migrants are interested in settling in other European countries. They view Spain not as the final destination of their journey, but as a transit country on the way to Germany, Sweden, and other countries with more favorable reception conditions. "There are no camps in Ceuta that could accommodate such a large number of people. This means there is a possibility that the undocumented migrants will still have to be transported to the mainland and accommodated somewhere there," Cherkasova concluded. TASS is not responsible for the material quoted in these press reviews Press review: US, Iran opt for war of attrition as Kiev diverts focus with Russia attacksTop stories from the Russian press on Monday, August 17thRead moreKiev seeks sponsors to upgrade Polish MiG-29 fighter jets — ambassadorVasily Bodnar explained that the fighters that Kiev had requested from Poland "cannot be used" in their current stateRead moreNetanyahu, Board of Peace agree to establish two working groups for Gaza — PM’s officeBenjamin Netanyahu's office said the prime minister and Board of Peace had deep and constructive discussionsRead moreTrump says likes idea of declaring Strait of Hormuz US territoryThe strait is open, the American leader added Read moreSupport for Ukraine, anti-Russia sanctions taking toll on Latvia’s economy — politicianRiga can no longer turn a blind eye to the economic costs associated with supporting Kiev and anti-Russian sanctions, Ainars Slesers saidRead moreKanye West to perform in St. Petersburg on October 10-11West has visited Russia several times but has never performed a solo concert in the countryRead moreVisiting Myanmar’s leader to discuss deepening strategic cooperation with Russia — dailyMin Aung Hlaing arrived in Moscow on MondayRead moreIsraeli army to hold its positions in Gaza — PM’s adviserAccording to the statement, Israel will not change its approach to targeted killings of militants eitherRead moreRussia expects provocations during voting in unfriendly countriesChairwoman of Russia’s Central Election Commission Ella Pamfilova linked possible provocations, among other things, to the activity of the people who have left RussiaRead moreIN BRIEF: Russian forces deliver strikes on Izmail, Odessa ports, logistics targetsThe Russian Armed Forces destroyed a Nova Poshta logistics center on the outskirts of Odessa and hit a Tarantul-class patrol boat at the port of OdessaRead moreHouthis report drone strike on Saudi Aramco refinery in JazanThe rebels stated that the attack was in response to an airspace violation in the Yemeni governorates of Saada and HajjahRead moreRussian tour operators booked solid through September, no 'last-minute' option — ATORAccording to the regulator, the entire market is currently pressured by the appreciation of the US dollar and euro against the ruble, alongside restricted airlift capacity to certain destinationsRead moreRussia, Indonesia to continue to expand mutually beneficial partnership ties — PutinThe Russian leader emphasized that the two countries' relations had been developing most successfullyRead moreRussian frigate Pallada sails off from DPRK — captainThe sailing ship’s departure from the pier drew several hundred townspeople – despite pouring rain and thunderstorms, people came to see the Russian sailors offRead moreGreek tanker attacked by Ukrainian drone in Black Sea near port of NovorossiyskThe TV channel released a video of the attack featuring a drone carrying out a reconnaissance flight over the sea, and then striking the deck bridge of a Greek tankerRead moreIran reduces to nothing most expensive tool of US military presence — expertAlexander Stepanov noted that the prolonged at-sea deployment and the inherent vulnerabilities of the ships had taken a toll on the crewsRead moreUS should avoid tensions with Russia ahead of elections — candidate for presidentThe White House should seek to expand trade and joint projects in the spirit of Anchorage, said Diane SareRead moreRussia ready to help African countries fight against terrorism — LavrovThe top Russian diplomat noted that despite the Sahel nations’ withdrawal from ECOWAS, they remain neighbors and Russia "is interested in normalizing relations between them"Read moreNumber of drones downed while approaching Moscow since start of day reaches 23Emergency services specialists are working at the sites where debris fellRead moreOne civilian killed, ten more wounded in Ukraine’s drone attacks on DPR during dayFive residential houses, five infrastructure facilities, three trucks, and three passenger cars were damagedRead moreUS Navy signs $22.9 billion contract with Raytheon to boost Tomahawk missile productionAccording to Under Secretary of War for Acquisition and Sustainment Michael P. 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secret diplomatic mission — FTAccording to the newspaper, the trip to Russia "carried heavy symbolism for the prospect of reviving diplomacy"Read moreAttempted UAV attack on Moscow largest in two years — TASS calculationsAccording to Sergey Sobyanin, 620 UAVs flew toward Moscow and the Moscow RegionRead moreSPIEF allows for more meetings than usually held in six months — officialAnton Kobyakov noted that SPIEF and the EEF serve as vital platforms for dialogue between business and governmentRead moreRussian Central Election Commission excludes Yabloko party from federal ballotThe changes have been approved at the commission’s meeting and introduced after the Supreme Court’s decision had entered into legal forceRead moreSeveral Middle Eastern countries secretly shipping oil through Hormuz — news agencyAccording to the news agency, the movement of such vessels carries the risk of attacksRead moreFinnish politician slams Stubb as 'US vassal' in relations with RussiaMember of the Freedom Alliance national conservative party Armando Mema pointed out that the Finnish leader has repeatedly made political decisions aimed at pleasing American diplomatsRead moreTeenage girl returns to Russia from Ukraine, reunited with mother — ombudswomanAccording to Maria Lvova-Belova, the mother and the daughter were permanently in touchRead moreSummoned Japanese ambassador to come to Russian foreign ministry on TuesdayAccording to the statement, Akira Muto "suddenly felt much better"Read morePress review: US, Iran opt for war of attrition as Kiev diverts focus with Russia attacksTop stories from the Russian press on Monday, August 17thRead morePolish deputy defense minister says country preparing for potential warCezary Tomczyk also mentioned that Poland is currently working to create a comprehensive SAN drone defense system as part of the Eastern Shield project, which envisages the construction of defensive lines along the borders with Russia and BelarusRead morePolice find van used by 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companies — NYTAccording to the newspaper, the commercial company Vantor, which has been cooperating with Ukraine for several years, recently launched six more satellites into orbit, increasing its total to tenRead moreWhole world always awaits Putin's speech at SPIEF — KobyakovAdviser to the Russian President and executive secretary of the forum's Organizing Committee Anton Kobyakov that the plenary session attended by Vladimir Putin is another important factor behind the forum's successRead moreJapanese ambassador leaves Russia’s MFA after 25 minutes inside buildingThe diplomat was summoned to the Russian Foreign Ministry over Tokyo’s protest after Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to the Kuril Island of IturupRead moreUS and Israel agree to establish conflict resolution mechanism in Gaza — AxiosEgypt will take part in the formation of the mechanism, the news portal saidRead moreAmerican mercenary Conor Kennedy arrested in absentia in Russia, placed on wanted listHe participated in combat operations on the side of the Ukrainian forces incognitoRead moreGhana-born man fighting for Russia in Ukraine speaks on special op purposeNabillari Isan is a volunteer serving in the ranks of one of the units of the Russian Defense MinistryRead moreAt least 18 logistics centers linked to Ukrainian military destroyed since early AugustWarehouse complexes in the Kiev suburb of Brovary, which were also used to supply the Ukrainian armed forces, have been completely destroyedRead moreStubb says Russia's neighbors will play key role in Moscow-Europe dialogueFinnish President stressed that Moscow and Helsinki are already engaged at several levels, including through their border servicesRead moreAttacks on Zaporozhye NPP expose true nature of Kiev regime — senatorThe Kiev regime deliberately targets facilities, in the vicinity of which no combat operations can be conducted under any circumstances, Dmitry Vorona said Read moreRussian stock indices decline as trading on 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elections will be held in the country in October or NovemberRead moreNo explanation from Japan why its ambassador ignored summons to Russian MFAThe Russian foreign minister revaled that the Japanese embassy's response was quite vagueRead moreRussian expert says not surprised at Turkey’s potential re-exports of US weapons to KievIvan Timofeyev, director general of the Russian International Affairs Council, said that Turkey has maintained quite a close and long-time relationship with Ukraine in the military-technical sphereRead moreNATO has official game plan for war with Russia, Bild reportsThe NATO Land Warfighting Concept was developed under the leadership of US Major Andrew PingrayRead moreUkraine has over hundred nationalist battalions — French expertLaurent Braillard said that he counted the equivalent of 106 battalions across 85 unitsRead moreGhana’s foreign minister says 62 citizens died in Ukraine war, 15 missingAccording to Okudzeto Ablakwa, he discussed with the Russian foreign minister stopping illegal recruitment of Ghanaians for the special military operationRead moreWest plans to accuse Russia of arming Latin American drug cartels — intel agencyThe SVR said the fabricated audio and video materials were also being prepared to support alleged "evidence" of Russia's transferring weapons to Latin Americans through intermediariesRead moreRussia’s Battlegroup South intercepts over 130 heavy Ukrainian drones over past dayThe battlegroup's units destroyed 35 ground robotic systems in the Kramatorsk, Konstantinovka and Slavyansk sectorsRead moreNumber of people injured in DPR over past week highest in three yearsThe republic's Human Rights Commissioner Darya Morozova also noted that four civilians were killed by Ukrainian forces during this periodRead moreSummoning Japanese ambassador and West’s terror against Africa: Lavrov’s statementsThe Russian foreign minister stated that Moscow was concerned over the involvement of the Ukrainian military in 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moreWest testing all its new weapons in Ukraine — Russian defense officialAkhmat Special Forces Commander Lieutenant General Apty Alaudinov opined that the West is preparing for a future conflict with RussiaRead moreKiev launches up to 350 UAVs daily at Belgorod Region over week, killing 15 people — MFAAccording to Russian Foreign Ministry Ambassador-at-Large Rodion Miroshnik, the Belgorod Region was the area most frequently targeted by Ukrainian troops last weekRead morePutin to hold talks with Myanmar president at KremlinThe two leaders will discuss prospects for deepening Russian-Myanmar cooperation in various areas, as well as current issues on the international and regional agendaRead moreAndrey Klepach no longer VEB.RF chief economist — press serviceThe candidate has already been selectedRead moreJapan needs to maintain relations with Russia including in energy sector — expertTaisuke Abiru said that Russia is deeply dissatisfied with the strengthening of Japan’s ties with NATO and Ukraine, and is signaling that it may respond to Tokyo’s continued sanctionsRead moreTrump says unwilling to extend memorandum of understanding with IranIran is not showing willingness to accept the United States’ terms for ending the conflict, the US president addedRead moreRussian troops gain foothold on southern outskirts of Alekseyevo-Druzhkovka in DPRDenis Pushilin stated that the Russian forces had the opportunity to move forward after the liberation of KonstantinovkaRead more