Russia

US officials expect Trump to resume major Iran war after midterms – Axios

RT English · 2026-09-30

AI SUMMARY

• What happened: US officials anticipate that President Trump may order a resumption of major military operations against Iran following the midterm elections, as indirect negotiations have stalled without progress. • Why it matters: The potential escalation in military action could exacerbate tensions in the Middle East, impact global energy prices, and influence voter sentiment in the upcoming elections, where public opinion is largely critical of current military strategies. • What to watch next: Monitor the outcomes of the midterm elections and any developments in US-Iran negotiations, as well as public reactions to military actions and their implications for Trump's political standing.

**US Officials Anticipate Resumption of Military Action Against Iran Post-Midterms**

As the midterm elections approach, US officials are reportedly bracing for the possibility that President Donald Trump may order a resumption of significant military operations against Iran. This speculation follows a series of indirect negotiations between the US and Iran that have yielded little progress, according to a report by Axios.

The negotiations, which involved Qatari mediators meeting separately with representatives from both nations in New York, have been marked by frustration. Sources indicate that neither side is willing to make necessary concessions, leading to a stalemate. One source described the situation as “stuck,” noting that Iran's demands are unacceptable to the US, while the US believes it is in a position of strength and sees no need to compromise.

The tensions have escalated following Trump’s rejection of Iran’s recent proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a critical maritime passage for global oil and liquefied natural gas (LNG deliveries). Trump has publicly denied reports suggesting he was prepared to offer sanctions relief or release frozen Iranian assets in exchange for concessions regarding Iran’s nuclear program, asserting on his social media platform, Truth Social, that he "offered them NOTHING."

In the political landscape, recent polling indicates that Democrats are leading Republicans by over ten points nationally in the race for control of the House of Representatives. This shift in voter sentiment comes amid widespread discontent regarding the ongoing military operations against Iran, which have been met with considerable opposition from the American public. Critics within Trump’s own base have expressed concerns that the president has strayed from his commitment to avoid new military conflicts, often referred to as "forever wars."

The military campaign initiated by the US and Israel against Iran on February 28 has not only faced unpopularity but has also strained US military resources. Reports from the Pentagon’s inspector general indicate that the relentless bombing campaign has significantly depleted US ammunition stockpiles. Additionally, disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to impact global energy prices, a situation that Trump has attempted to attribute to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.

An Iranian security official recently commented on the situation, stating, “Donald Trump cannot calm energy markets or conceal the costs of his blockade and hostile policies through show-off and social media posts.” This sentiment reflects a growing concern over the implications of US military actions on both domestic and international fronts.

Public opinion polls further illustrate the divide among American voters regarding the military actions against Iran. A Fox News poll revealed that 71% of registered voters believe the Trump administration lacks a coherent strategy for concluding the conflict, while 60% feel that the decision to engage in military action against Iran was misguided. Furthermore, 47% of respondents expressed the belief that military action would ultimately make the US less safe, while only 32% felt it would enhance national security.

As the midterm elections draw near, the political ramifications of these military operations and the ongoing negotiations with Iran are likely to continue shaping the discourse in Washington. The potential for a resumption of major combat operations remains a contentious issue, with implications for both domestic politics and international relations.

Source: RT English
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